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Matt Bowen
06-07-2007, 09:25 AM
Sugar has fallen from .18 cents a pound down last year at this time to just over .08 cents a pound this week.

(as Dailyfutures, Inc writes)
Better yet, cane ethanol yields eight times the energy needed to make it, compared with U.S. corn-based ethanol that is energy-inefficient and costs almost three times as much to produce. As long as crude-oil prices stay above $30 a barrel, Brazilian ethanol, which costs $26 a barrel to produce, is cost-competitive, attractive and sustainable to boot.

When you factor in these variables...this becomes a very interesting setup and we are sitting on Decision Point support here. I'm not looking to pick a bottom here, just speculate on a decision point trade. My job as a speculator is to make good decisions based on smart risk/reward calculations and that's what MTPredictor was made for :)

swissoaktree
06-07-2007, 09:33 AM
Matt: That was a very informative post on Sugar. Thanks for bringing that to our (my) attention.

Matt Bowen
06-07-2007, 09:42 AM
No Problem... Just sharing the info... and hoping we can all make a few extra bucks, ha ha :D

marketwaves
07-13-2007, 01:17 AM
Does any-one know the result of this trade ?

How did this trade turn out ? .....
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- Can you post a chart showing the result ?

Steve Griffiths
07-13-2007, 03:46 AM
Hi Guys

Please see attached. We are now on the (Oct) contract, but yes the low came in right at the DP level :)

Steve

Matt Bowen
07-13-2007, 01:56 PM
You have to love commodities... where else can you get this kind of leverage?

The Sugar Trade exploded this morning, but the problem is there is no volume this week...not to mention it ran smack right into the Decsion Point at 10:30am this morning (see chart below).

This is where you have to ask yourelf, what is my risk tolerance as a trader, if you are a "skilled trader" you can see some potential problems here and adjust your stops to the low of the trade or you can throw up the ATR and ride the trade through hell or high water and adjust the position as the trade progresses... either way, I see a potential pull back in the works here early next week... Remeber, this was a DP trade, so it's a counter trend rally, how much are you looking for?

All the best,

Matt Bowen